Tony Broccoli's Publications

View my publications on ResearcherID

View my publications at Scholarly Open Access at Rutgers


Manabe, S., and A. J. Broccoli, 2020: Beyond Global Warming: How Numerical Models Revealed the Secrets of Climate Change, Princeton, NJ, Princeton University Press, ISBN 978-0-691-05886-3, 193 pp..


2010s 2000s 1990s 1980s 1970s

O'Neill, G. R., and A. J. Broccoli, 2021: Orbital influences on conditions favorable for glacial inception, Geophys. Res. Lett., in press.

Sagoo, N., T. Storelvmo, L. Hahn, I. Tan, J. Danco, B. Raney, and A. J. Broccoli, 2021: Observationally constrained cloud phase unmasks orbital driven climate feedbacks, Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL091873, doi:10.1029/2020GL091873.

Leidman, S. Z., A. K. Rennermalm, A. J. Broccoli, D. van As, A. Hubbard, K. Steffen, and M. van den Broeke, 2020: Methods for predicting the likelihood of safe fieldwork conditions in harsh environments, Frontiers Earth.Sci., 8, doi:10.3389/feart.2020.00260.

Clem, K. R., B. R. Lintner, A. J. Broccoli, and J. R. Miller, 2019: Role of the South Pacific Convergence Zone in West Antarctic decadal climate variability, Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 6900-6909, doi:10.1029/2019GL082108.

Rutberg, R., and A. J. Broccoli, 2019: Response of high latitude Southern Hemisphere to orbital forcing: implications for enhanced oceanic CO2 sequestration during glacial periods, Paleocean. and Paleoclim., 34, doi:10.1029/2019PA003598.

Catalano, A. J., A. J. Broccoli, S. B. Kapnick, and T. L. Janoski, 2019: High-impact extratropical cyclones along the northeast coast of the United States in a long coupled climate model simulation, J. Climate, 32, 2131-2143, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0376.1.

Janoski, T., S. Kapnick, N. Johnson, and A. J. Broccoli, 2018: Assessing wind-driven extreme snowfall events under climate change, J. Climate, 31, 9037-9054, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0756.1.

Sentman, L. T., J. P. Dunne, R. J. Stouffer, J. P. Krasting, J. R. Toggweiler, and A. J. Broccoli, 2018: The mechanistic role of the Central American Seaway in the GFDL Earth System Model. Part 1: Impacts on global ocean mean state and circulation, Paleocean. and Paleoclim., 33, 840-859, doi:10.1029/2018PA003364.

Erb, M. P., C. S. Jackson, A. J. Broccoli, D. W. Lea, P. J. Valdes, and P. N. DiNezio, 2018: Model evidence for a seasonal bias in Antarctic ice core, Nature Comm., 9, 1361, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-03800-0.

Catalano, A. J., and A. J. Broccoli, 2017: Synoptic characteristics of surge-producing extratropical cyclones along the northeast coast of the United States, J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 57, 171-184, doi:/10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0123.1.

Danco, J. F., A. J. Broccoli, A. M. DeAngelis, and B. Raney, 2016: Effects of a warming climate on daily snowfall events in the Northern Hemisphere, J. Climate, 29, 6295-6318, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0687.1.

Erb, M. P., C. S. Jackson, and A. J. Broccoli, 2015: Using single-forcing GCM simulations to reconstruct and interpret Quaternary climate change, J. Climate, 28, 9746-9767, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0329.1.

Erb, M. P., A. J. Broccoli, N. Graham, A. C. Clement, A. T. Wittenberg, and G. A. Vecchi, 2015: Response of the equatorial Pacific seasonal cycle to orbital forcing. J. Climate, 28, 9258-9276, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0242.1.

Loikith, P. C., and A. J. Broccoli, 2014: Comparison between observed and model simulated atmospheric circulation patterns associated with extreme temperature days over North America using CMIP5 historical simulations, J. Climate, 28, 2063-2079, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00544.1.

Greenberg, M. R., M. D. Weiner, R. Noland, J. Herb, M. Kaplan, and A. J. Broccoli, 2014: Public support for policies to reduce risk after Hurricane Sandy. Risk Analysis, doi:10.1111/risa.12203.

Loikith, P. C., and A. J. Broccoli, 2014: The role of recurrent modes of climate variability in the occurrence of extreme temperatures over North America. J. Climate, 27, 1600-1618, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00068.1.

Krasting, J., A. J. Broccoli, K. W. Dixon, and J. R. Lanzante, 2013: Future changes in Northern Hemisphere snowfall. J. Climate, 26, 7813–7828, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00832.1.

Previdi, M, B. G. Liepert, D. Peteet, J. Hansen, D. J. Beerling, A. J. Broccoli, S. Frolking, J. N. Galloway, M. Heimann, C. Le Quéré, S. Levitus, and V. Ramaswamy, 2013: Climate sensitivity in the Anthropocene. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 139A, 1121-1131, doi: 10.1002/qj.2165.

Erb, M. P., A. J. Broccoli, and A. C. Clement, 2013: The contribution of radiative feedbacks to orbitally-driven climate change. J. Climate, 26, 5897-5914, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00419.1.

Mantsis, D. F., B. R. Lintner, A. J. Broccoli, and M. Khodri, 2013: Mechanisms of Mid-Holocene precipitation change in the South Pacific Convergence Zone.  J. Climate, 26, 6937-6953, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00674.1.

Mantsis, D. F., A. C. Clement, B. Kirtman, A. J. Broccoli, and M. P. Erb, 2013: Precessional cycles and their remote influence on the North Pacific and North Atlantic summer anticyclones. J. Climate, 26, 4596-4611, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00343.1.

DeAngelis, A. M., A. J. Broccoli, and S. G. Decker, 2013: A comparison of CMIP3 simulations of precipitation over North America with observations: Daily statistics and circulation features accompanying extreme events. J. Climate., 26, 3209-3230, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00374.1.

Loikith, P. C., and A. J. Broccoli, 2012: Characteristics of observed atmospheric circulation patterns associated with temperature extremes over North America. J. Climate, 25, 7266–7281, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00709.1.

DiNezio, P. N., A. C. Clement, G. A. Vecchi, B. Soden, A. J. Broccoli, B. Otto-Bliesner, and P. Braconnot, 2011: The response of the Walker circulation to LGM forcing: Implications for detection in proxies, Paleoceanography, 26, PA3217, doi:10.1029/2010PA002083.

Mantsis, D. F., A. C. Clement, A. J. Broccoli, and M. P. Erb, 2011: Climate feedbacks in response to changes in obliquity, J. Climate, 24, 2830-2845, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3986.1.

Li, F., P. Ginoux, V. Ramaswamy, A. Broccoli, T. Delworth, and F. Zeng, 2010: Toward understanding the dust deposition in Antarctica during the Last Glacial Maximum: Sensitivity studies on plausible causes, J. Geophys. Res., 115 , D24120, doi: 10.1029/2010JD014791.

Broccoli, A. J., and S. A. Klein, 2010: Comment on “Observational and model evidence for positive low-level cloud feedback,” Science, 329, 277, doi: 10.1126/science.1186796.

Yoshimori, M., and A. J. Broccoli, 2009: On the link between Hadley circulation changes and radiative feedback processes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L20703, doi: 10.1029/2009GL040488.

Yoshimori, M., and A. J. Broccoli, 2008: Equilibrium response of an atmosphere-mixed layer ocean model to different radiative forcing agents: Global and zonal mean response. J. Climate, 21, 4399-4423, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2172.1.

Taylor, K.E., M. Crucifix, P. Braconnot, C.D. Hewitt, C. Doutriaux, A.J. Broccoli, J.F.B. Mitchell, and M.J. Webb, 2007: Estimating shortwave radiative forcing and response in climate models. J. Climate, 20, 2530-2543, doi:10.1175/JCLI4143.1.

Hewitt, C. D., A. J. Broccoli, M. Crucifix, J. M. Gregory, J. F. B. Mitchell, R. J. Stouffer, 2006: The effect of a large freshwater perturbation on the glacial North Atlantic Ocean using a coupled general circulation model. J. Climate, 19, 4436-4447, doi:10.1175/JCLI3867.1.

Stouffer, R. J., A. J. Broccoli, T. L. Delworth, K. W. Dixon, R. Gudgel, I. Held, R. Hemler, T. R. Knutson, H.-C. Lee, M. D. Schwarzkopf, B. Soden, M. J. Spelman, M. Winton, and F. Zeng, 2006: GFDL's CM2 Global Coupled Climate Models. Part IV: Idealized Climate Response. J. Climate, 19, 723-740, doi:10.1175/JCLI3632.1.

Delworth, T. L., A. J. Broccoli, A. Rosati, R. J. Stouffer, V. Balaji, J. T. Beesley, W. F. Cooke, K. W. Dixon, J. Dunne, K. A. Dunne, J. W. Durachta, K. L. Findell, P. Ginoux, A. Gnanadesikan, C. T. Gordon, S. M. Griffies, R. Gudgel, M. J. Harrison, I. M. Held, R. S. Hemler, L. W. Horowitz, S. A. Klein, T. R. Knutson, P. J. Kushner, A. L. Langenhorst, H.-C. Lee, S. J. Lin, J. Lu, S. L. Malyshev, P.C. Milly, V. Ramaswamy, J. Russell, M. D. Schwarzkopf, E. Shevliakova, J. Sirutis, M. Spelman, W. F. Stern, M. Winton, A. T. Wittenberg, B. Wyman, F. Zeng, and R. Zhang, 2005: GFDL's CM2 global coupled climate models--Part 1: Formulation and simulation characteristics. J. Climate, 19, 643-674, doi:10.1175/JCLI3629.1.

Broccoli, A. J., K. A. Dahl, and R. J. Stouffer, 2006: The response of the ITCZ to Northern Hemisphere cooling. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L01702, doi:10.1029/2005GL024546.

Hall A., A. C. Clement, A. J. Broccoli, C. S. Jackson, 2005: The importance of atmospheric dynamics in the northern hemisphere wintertime climate response to changes in earth's orbit, J. Climate, 18, 1315-1325, doi 10.1175/JCLI3327.1.

Dahl, K. A., A. J. Broccoli, and R. J. Stouffer, 2005: Assessing the role of North Atlantic freshwater forcing in millennial scale climate variability: A tropical Atlantic perspective, Climate Dynamics, 24, 325-346, doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0499-5.

The GFDL Global Atmospheric Model Development Team, 2004: The new GFDL global atmosphere and land model AM2/LM2: Evaluation with prescribed SST simulations, J. Climate, 17, 4641-4673, doi:10.1175/JCLI-3223.1.

Soden, B. J., A. J. Broccoli, and R. S. Hemler, 2004: On the use of cloud forcing to estimate cloud feedback, J. Climate, 17, 3661-3665, doi:10.1175/1520-0442.

Rosenthal, Y., and A. J. Broccoli, 2004: In search of paleo-ENSO, Science, 304, 219-221, doi:10.1126/science.1095435.

Clement, A. C., A. Hall, and A. J. Broccoli, 2004: The importance of precessional signals in the tropical climate, Climate Dynamics, 22, 327-341, doi:10.1007/s00382-003-0375-8.

Broccoli, A. J., K. W. Dixon, T. L. Delworth, T. R. Knutson and R. J. Stouffer, 2003: Twentieth-century temperature and precipitation trends in ensemble climate simulations including natural and anthropogenic forcing, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4798, doi:10.1029/2003JD003812.

Jackson, C. S., and A. J. Broccoli, 2003: Orbital forcing of Arctic climate: Mechanisms of climate response and implications for continental glaciation, Climate Dynamics, 21, 539-557, doi:10.1007/s00382-003-0351-3.

Karoly, D. J., K. Braganza, P. A. Stott, J. M. Arblaster, G. A. Meehl, A. J. Broccoli, and K. W. Dixon, 2003: Detection of a human influence on North American climate. Science, 302, 1200-1203, doi:10.1126/science.1089159.

Hewitt, C. D., R. J. Stouffer, A. J. Broccoli, J. F. B. Mitchell, and P. J. Valdes, 2003: The effect of ocean dynamics in a coupled GCM simulation of the Last Glacial Maximum. Climate Dynamics, 20, 203-218. doi:10.1007/s00382-002-0272-6.

Delworth, T. L., R. J. Stouffer, K. W. Dixon, M. J. Spelman, T. R. Knutson, A. J. Broccoli, P. J. Kushner, and R. T. Wetherald, 2002: Review of simulations of climate variability and change with the GFDL R30 coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 19, 555-574, doi:10.1007/s00382-002-0249-5.

Andreasen, D. H., A. C. Ravelo, and A. J. Broccoli, 2001: Remote forcing at the Last Glacial Max­imum in the tropical Pacific Ocean. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 879-897, doi:10.1029/1999JC000087.

Broccoli, A. J., T. L. Delworth, and N.-C. Lau, 2001: The effect of changes in observational coverage on the association between surface temperature and the Arctic oscillation. J. Climate, 14, 2481-2485, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<2481:TEOCIO>2.0.CO;2.

Hewitt, C. D., A. J. Broccoli, J. F. B. Mitchell, and R. J. Stouffer, 2001: A coupled model study of the last glacial maximum: Was part of the North Atlantic relatively warm? Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 1571-1574, doi:10.1029/2000GL012575.

Levitus, S., J. I. Antonov, J. Wang, T. L. Delworth, K. W. Dixon, and A. J. Broccoli, 2001. Anthropogenic warming of Earth’s climate system. Science, 292, 267-270, doi:10.1126/science.1058154.

Broccoli, A. J., 2000: Tropical cooling at the Last Glacial Maximum: An atmosphere-mixed layer ocean model simulation. J. Climate, 13, 951-976, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<0951:TCATLG>2.0.CO;2.

Joussaume, S., K. E. Taylor, P. Braconnot, J. F. B. Mitchell, J. E. Kutzbach, S. P. Harrison, I. C. Prentice, A. J. Broccoli, A. Abe-Ouchi, P. J. Bartlein, C. Bonfils, B. Dong, J. Guiot, K. Herterich, C. D. Hewitt, D. Jolly, J. W. Kim, A. Kislov, A. Kitoh, M. F. Loutre, V. Masson, B. McAvaney, N. McFarlane, N. de Noblet, W. R. Peltier, J. Y. Peterschmitt, D. Pollard, D. Rind, J. F. Royer, M. E. Schlesinger, J. Syktus, S. Thompson, P. Valdes, G. Vettoretti, R. S. Webb, U. Wyputta, 1999: Monsoon changes for 6000 years ago: Results of 18 simulations from the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP). Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 859-862, doi:10.1029/1999GL900126.

Broccoli, A. J., N-C. Lau, and M. J. Nath, 1998: The cold ocean-warm land pattern: Model simulation and relevance to climate change detection. J. Climate, 11, 2743-2763, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<2743:TCOWLP>2.0.CO;2.

Broccoli, A. J., and E. P. Marciniak, 1996: Comparing simulated glacial climate and paleodata: A reexamination. Paleoceanography, 11, 3-14, doi:10.1029/95PA03311.

Lindberg, C., and A. J. Broccoli, 1996: Representation of topography in spectral climate models and its effect on simulated precipitation. J. Climate, 9, 2641-2659, doi/:10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<2641:ROTISC>2.0.CO;2.

Broccoli, A. J., S. Manabe, J. F. B. Mitchell, and L. Bengtsson, 1995: Comments on “Global climate change and tropical cyclones”: Part II. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 2243-2245.  PDF

Broccoli, A. J., 1994: News and Views: Learning from past climates. Nature, 371, 282, doi:10.1038/371282a0.

Broccoli, A. J., and S. Manabe, 1992: The effects of orography on midlatitude Northern Hemisphere dry climates. J. Climate, 5, 1181-1201, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<1181:TEOOOM>2.0.CO:2.

Broccoli, A. J., and S. Manabe, 1992: Reply to Evans. Geophys. Res. Lett., 19, 1525-1526, doi:10.1029/92GL01670.

Broccoli, A. J., and S. Manabe, 1990: Can existing climate models be used to study anthropogenic changes in tropical cyclone climate? Geophys. Res. Lett., 17, 1917- 1920, doi:10.1029/GL017i011p01917.

Manabe, S., and A. J. Broccoli, 1990: Mountains and arid climates of middle latitudes. Science, 247, 192-195, doi:10.1126/science.247.4939.192.

Broccoli, A. J., and S. Manabe, 1987. The effects of the Laurentide ice sheet on North American climate during the last glacial maximum. Géographie Physique et Quaternaire, XLI, 291-299, doi:10.7202/032684.

Broccoli, A. J., and S. Manabe, 1987: The influence of continental ice, atmospheric CO2, and land albedo on the climate of the last glacial maximum. Clim. Dynamics, 1, 87-99, doi:10.1007/BF01054478.

Manabe, S., and A. J. Broccoli, 1985: The influence of continental ice sheets on the climate of an ice age. J. Geophys. Res., 90, 2167-2190, doi:10.1029/JD090iD01p02167.

Manabe, S., and A. J. Broccoli, 1985: A comparison of climate model sensitivity with data from the last glacial maximum. J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 2643-2651, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1985)042<2643:ACOCMS>2.0.CO;2.

Manabe, S., and A. J. Broccoli, 1984: Ice-age climate and continental ice sheets: Some experiments with a general circulation model. Ann. Glaciol., 5, 100-105, doi:10.3189/1984AoG5-1-100-105.

Broccoli, A. J., and R. P. Harnack, 1981: Predictability of monthly North Pacific sea level pressure from monthly sea surface temperature for the period 1933-1976, Mon. Weather Rev., 109, 2107-2117, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1981)109<2107:POMNPS>2.0.CO;2.

Cardone, V. J., A. J. Broccoli, C. V. Greenwood, and J. A. Greenwood, 1980: Error characteristics of extratropical-storm wind fields specified from historical data, J. Petrol. Tech., 32, 872-880, link.

Harnack, R. P., and A. J. Broccoli, Associations between sea surface temperature gradient and overlying mid-troposphere circulation in the North Pacific region, J. Phys. Oceanog., 9, 1232-1242, 1979, doi:10.1175/1520-0485(1979)009<1232:ABSSTG>2.0.CO;2.


McAvaney, B. J., C. Covey, S. Joussaume, V. Kattsov, A. Kitoh, W. Ogana, A. J. Pitman, A. J. Weaver, R. A. Wood, Z.-C. Zhao, K. AchutaRao, A. Arking, A. Barnston, R. Betts, C. Bitz, G. Boer, P. Braconnot, A. Broccoli, F. Bryan, M. Claussen, R. Colman, P. Delecluse, A. Del Genio, K. Dixon, P. Duffy, L. Dümenil, M. England, T. Fichefet, G. Flato, J. C. Fyfe, N. Gedney, P. Gent, C. Genthon, J. Gregory, E. Guilyardi, S. Harrison, N. Hasegawa, G.      Holland, M. Holland, Y. Jia, P. D. Jones, N. Kageyama, D. Keith, K. Kodera, J. Kutzbach, S. Lambert, S. Legutke, G. Madec, S. Maeda, M. E. Mann, G. Meehl, I. Mokhov, T. Motoi, T. Phillips, J. Polcher, G. L. Potter, V. Pope, C. Prentice, G. Roff, F. Semazzi, P. Sellers, D. J. Stensrud, T. Stockdale, R. Stouffer, K. E. Taylor, K. Trenberth, R. Tol, J. Walsh, M. Wild, D. Williamson, S.-P. Xie, X.-H. Zhang, and F. Zwiers, 2001. Model evaluation. In Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 472-523.

Broccoli, A. J., and S. Manabe, 1997: Mountains and midlatitude aridity. In Tectonic Uplift and Cli­mate Change, New York: Plenum Press, 89-121.

Broccoli, A. J., 1994: Climate model sensitivity, paleoclimate and future climate change. In Long-Term Climatic Variations. NATO ASI Series I, Vol. 22, Berlin; Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag, 551-567.

Broccoli, A. J., and S. Manabe, 1993: Climate model studies of interactions between ice sheets and the atmosphere-ocean system. In Ice in the Climate System, NATO ASI Series I, Vol. 12, Berlin; Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag, 271-290.

Manabe, S., and A. J. Broccoli, 1984: Influence of the CLIMAP ice sheet on the climate of a general circulation model: implications for the Milankovitch theory. In Milankovitch and Climate, Part 2, Reidel Publishing Co., 789-799.


Broccoli, A. J., 2000: Extratropical influences on interhemispheric asymmetry of tropical climate. In Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP), Proceedings of the third PMIP Workshop,  Braconnot, P., Ed., Geneva, Switzerland: World Meteorological Organization, WCRP-111, WMO/TD-No. 1007, 233-234.

Jackson, C., and A. Broccoli, 2000: The influence of orbital configuration on Arctic glaciation. In Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP), Proceedings of the third PMIP Workshop,  Braconnot, P., Ed., Geneva, Switzerland: World Meteorological Organization, WCRP-111, WMO/TD-No. 1007, 177-178.

Taylor, K. E., C. D. Hewitt, P. Braconnot, A. J. Broccoli, C. Doutriaux, J. F. B. Mitchell and PMIP Participating Groups, 2000: Analysis of forcing, response, and feedbacks. In Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP), Proceedings of the third PMIP Workshop,  Braconnot, P., Ed., Geneva, Switzerland: World Meteorological Organization, WCRP-111, WMO/TD-No. 1007, 43-50.

Lindberg, C., and A. J. Broccoli, 1995: Representation of topography in spectral climate models and its effect on simulated precipitation. In Preprints, Seventh Conference on Mountain Meteorology, July 17-21, 1995, Breckenridge, CO, American Meteorological Society, 6-11.

Broccoli, A. J., and S. Manabe, 1991: Will global warming increase the frequency of tropical cyclones? In Preprints, Fifth Conference on Climate Variations, Boston, MA: American Meteorological Society, 46.

Broccoli, A. J., 1986: Characteristics of seasonal snow cover as simulated by GFDL climate mod­els. In SNOW WATCH ’85, Boulder, CO: World Data Center A for Glaciology (Snow and Ice), 241-248.


Delworth, T. L., A. J. Broccoli, K. Dixon, I. Held, T. R. Knutson, P. J. Kushner, M. J. Spelman, R. J. Stouffer, K. Y. Vinnikov, and R. E. Wetherald, 1999: Coupled climate modelling at GFDL: Recent accomplishments and future plans. CLIVAR Exchanges, 4(4), 15-20.

Reiss, N. M., and A. J. Broccoli, A Microcomputer-Based Teletype Control System, National Weather Digest, 6:58-62, 1981.


Written by A. J. Broccoli
Last Updated: October 6, 2021